long23

0x391657...b316d8
Smart Score
45
Win Rate
72.7%
Total P&L
+$1.3K
Trade Count
196
Sharpe Ratio
2.11
Sortino Ratio
13.03
Max Drawdown
17000.0%
ROI
8.5%
Profit Factor
7.08
Kelly Fraction
0.625
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
045.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 5?BUY99.6¢5Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 5?BUY99.9¢10Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 20?BUY99.7¢10Feb 20
Samford Bulldogs vs. Wofford TerriersSELL33.0¢25Jan 21
Samford Bulldogs vs. Wofford TerriersSELL35.0¢1,115Jan 21
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.7¢56,187.05Jan 21
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.7¢2.48Jan 21
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.7¢545Jan 21
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.7¢8.04Jan 21
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.7¢13Jan 21
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.7¢374.37Jan 21
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.7¢253.52Jan 21
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.7¢147Jan 21
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.7¢349.09Jan 21
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.7¢9Jan 21
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.7¢9Jan 21
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.7¢1,295.714Jan 21
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.7¢10Jan 21
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.7¢3,585.714Jan 21
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.7¢7.04Jan 21
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%19%< 10%19%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%14%80–90%48%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing45.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.49
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)41.1%
Win Consistency16.7%
Profit Factor1.18
Drawdown Resilience0.95
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.95
Weekly Sharpe est.0.72
Trading Activity196 trades · 5 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$1,2362d profit3d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics