LoraK

0x2a448f...6ae4e8
Smart Score
34
Win Rate
17.2%
Total P&L
+$20.7K
Trade Count
996
Sharpe Ratio
1.12
Sortino Ratio
435.41
Max Drawdown
130.4%
ROI
262.8%
Profit Factor
3.12
Kelly Fraction
0.117
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
033.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will André Ventura win the second round?SELL0.1¢300Feb 26
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?BUY2.8¢150Feb 21
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?BUY2.5¢100Feb 21
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?BUY2.6¢39.73Feb 21
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?BUY2.6¢10.267Feb 21
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?BUY2.6¢135.37Feb 21
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?BUY2.6¢57.762Feb 21
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?BUY2.6¢6.853Feb 21
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?BUY2.6¢200Feb 21
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?BUY2.8¢300Feb 21
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?BUY3.1¢18.13Feb 21
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?BUY3.1¢100Feb 21
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?BUY3.1¢100Feb 21
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?BUY3.1¢0.9Feb 21
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?BUY3.1¢0.89Feb 21
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?BUY3.1¢39.393Feb 21
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?BUY4.1¢300Feb 21
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?BUY4.5¢0.6Feb 21
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?BUY0.3¢500Feb 21
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?BUY0.3¢500Feb 21
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%95%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing33.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.84
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)30.5%
Win Consistency63.0%
Profit Factor0.87
Drawdown Resilience0.70
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.70
Weekly Sharpe est.0.54
Trading Activity996 trades · 15 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$3,4565d profit10d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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