LordProtector

0x842072...876183

Smart Score

Win Rate

45.7%

Total P&L

+$11.8K

Trade Count

3,732

Sharpe Ratio

0.21

Sortino Ratio

3.84

Max Drawdown

264.6%

ROI

10.5%

Profit Factor

6.87

Kelly Fraction

0.391

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

042/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	35.0¢	10	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	88.0¢	200	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	70.0¢	40	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	BUY	53.0¢	50	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	BUY	14.4¢	6.93	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	BUY	14.4¢	13	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	15.0¢	100	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	82.0¢	100	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	BUY	30.0¢	92.87	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	BUY	47.0¢	10	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	67.0¢	10	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	BUY	36.0¢	10	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	BUY	31.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?	BUY	58.0¢	7	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	BUY	30.0¢	7.129	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	60.0¢	10	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	30.0¢	50	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	BUY	31.0¢	30	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	BUY	36.0¢	30	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	BUY	47.0¢	16.82	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing42

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.31

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)38.2%

Win Consistency47.8%

Profit Factor1.09

Drawdown Resilience0.88

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.88

Weekly Sharpe est.0.67

Trading Activity3,732 trades · 121 active days

P&L Calendar

$27057d profit64d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue