Lostpenguin

0x5e32ba...d68496

Smart Score

Win Rate

83.5%

Total P&L

+$7.4K

Trade Count

4,000

Sharpe Ratio

-8.24

Sortino Ratio

-13.65

Max Drawdown

32285.4%

ROI

1.9%

Profit Factor

1.26

Kelly Fraction

0.172

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

06.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4AM ET	BUY	81.0¢	220.366	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4AM ET	BUY	81.0¢	24.691	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4AM ET	BUY	79.8¢	25.063	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4AM ET	BUY	81.2¢	24.621	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4AM ET	BUY	80.0¢	25	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4AM ET	BUY	80.0¢	25	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4AM ET	BUY	81.0¢	24.691	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4AM ET	BUY	82.0¢	122.012	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	SELL	99.0¢	100	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	SELL	99.0¢	96.57	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	SELL	99.0¢	200	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	SELL	99.0¢	5.86	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	BUY	79.9¢	11.275	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	BUY	83.0¢	12.048	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	BUY	78.9¢	12.668	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	BUY	79.0¢	12.658	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	BUY	76.0¢	13.158	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	BUY	77.0¢	12.987	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	BUY	77.0¢	12.987	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	BUY	70.9¢	14.104	Mar 5

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing6.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.34

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)5.5%

Win Consistency10.7%

Profit Factor0.16

Drawdown Resilience0.13

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.13

Weekly Sharpe est.0.10

Trading Activity4,000 trades · 15 active days

P&L Calendar

$28,2922d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue