louce66

0x62b166...34a4c0

Smart Score

Win Rate

26.0%

Total P&L

-$399

Trade Count

651

Sharpe Ratio

0.93

Sortino Ratio

21.96

Max Drawdown

60.3%

ROI

-5.1%

Profit Factor

0.87

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

046.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 8, 2026?	SELL	3.1¢	160	Mar 5
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 7, 2026?	SELL	3.2¢	150	Mar 5
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 6, 2026?	SELL	2.0¢	200	Mar 5
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 5, 2026?	BUY	14.0¢	160	Mar 4
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 4, 2026?	SELL	6.6¢	160	Mar 4
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 3, 2026?	SELL	1.2¢	160	Mar 3
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 9, 2026?	BUY	10.0¢	200	Mar 3
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 4, 2026?	BUY	21.0¢	139.15	Mar 3
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 4, 2026?	BUY	21.0¢	20.85	Mar 3
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 2, 2026?	SELL	7.0¢	159.96	Mar 2
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 8, 2026?	BUY	10.0¢	160	Mar 2
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 6, 2026?	BUY	10.0¢	200	Mar 2
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 3, 2026?	BUY	4.0¢	57.23	Mar 2
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 3, 2026?	BUY	4.0¢	1.042	Mar 2
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 4, 2026?	BUY	5.0¢	24.73	Mar 2
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 3, 2026?	BUY	4.0¢	20.86	Mar 2
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 3, 2026?	BUY	4.0¢	20.86	Mar 2
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 4, 2026?	BUY	5.0¢	75.263	Mar 2
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 5, 2026?	BUY	10.0¢	38.93	Mar 2
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 5, 2026?	BUY	10.0¢	5.556	Mar 2

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing46.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.54

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)42.0%

Win Consistency65.0%

Profit Factor1.20

Drawdown Resilience0.97

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.97

Weekly Sharpe est.0.74

Trading Activity651 trades · 92 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,87433d profit58d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue