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lpiere

0x55021f...25d440
Smart Score
59
Win Rate
63.2%
Total P&L
+$3.0K
Trade Count
570
Sharpe Ratio
0.64
Sortino Ratio
1.46
Max Drawdown
49.6%
ROI
6.5%
Profit Factor
4.29
Kelly Fraction
0.484
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
059.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?BUY38.9¢90.005Mar 5
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY56.0¢3.31Mar 5
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 31m?SELL99.3¢5Mar 5
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 31m?BUY99.2¢147.167Mar 5
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 31m?BUY99.4¢5.03Mar 5
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 31m?BUY99.4¢1.006Mar 5
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY56.0¢25Mar 5
Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?BUY33.0¢23.05Mar 5
Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?BUY25.0¢2Mar 4
Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?BUY25.0¢29Mar 4
Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?BUY25.0¢2.41Mar 4
Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?BUY25.0¢23.05Mar 4
Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?BUY25.0¢18Mar 4
Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?BUY25.0¢55.99Mar 4
Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?BUY25.0¢53.01Mar 4
Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?BUY25.0¢44Mar 4
Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?BUY25.0¢44Mar 4
Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?BUY25.0¢8Mar 4
Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?BUY25.0¢8.36Mar 4
Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?BUY25.0¢13Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%8%< 10%15%10–20%11%20–30%13%30–50%24%50–70%7%70–80%12%80–90%11%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active59.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.25
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)53.8%
Win Consistency56.3%
Profit Factor1.54
Drawdown Resilience1.24
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.24
Weekly Sharpe est.0.95
Trading Activity570 trades · 60 active days
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P&L Calendar
$9,34418d profit40d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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