Lucius-Mata

0x3f48b3...36d2bb

Smart Score

Win Rate

98.8%

Total P&L

+$13.7K

Trade Count

4,000

Sharpe Ratio

0.27

Sortino Ratio

76.18

Max Drawdown

648074.1%

ROI

4.8%

Profit Factor

4.56

Kelly Fraction

0.771

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

045.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 10PM ET	BUY	28.0¢	55.625	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	BUY	98.0¢	100	Mar 4
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 10PM ET	BUY	28.0¢	44.37	Mar 4
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 10PM ET	BUY	99.0¢	100	Mar 4
XRP Up or Down - March 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	BUY	98.9¢	100	Mar 4
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	BUY	98.0¢	100	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	BUY	99.0¢	100	Mar 4
XRP Up or Down - March 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	BUY	99.0¢	67.17	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	BUY	99.0¢	100	Mar 4
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	BUY	98.0¢	100	Mar 4
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	BUY	97.0¢	100	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	BUY	11.0¢	9.3	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	BUY	11.0¢	10.562	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	BUY	11.0¢	3.27	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	BUY	11.0¢	5.281	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	BUY	11.0¢	3.27	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	BUY	11.0¢	1.685	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	BUY	11.0¢	45.75	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	BUY	11.0¢	18.7	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	BUY	11.0¢	2.157	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing45.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.51

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)41.5%

Win Consistency6.3%

Profit Factor1.19

Drawdown Resilience0.96

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.96

Weekly Sharpe est.0.73

Trading Activity4,000 trades · 12 active days

P&L Calendar

$287,7050d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue