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Luckon35

Luckon35

0x16ba4f...ffbe99
Smart Score
18
Win Rate
50.0%
Total P&L
+$4
Trade Count
22
Sharpe Ratio
-11.61
Sortino Ratio
-15.86
Max Drawdown
569.4%
ROI
2.1%
Profit Factor
4.86
Kelly Fraction
0.397
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
018.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?BUY72.5¢6.897Mar 5
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?BUY21.0¢23.81Mar 5
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?SELL74.0¢6.49Mar 5
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?SELL72.4¢13.71Mar 5
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?SELL19.0¢47.61Mar 5
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?SELL14.0¢29.41Mar 5
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?BUY72.9¢6.859Mar 5
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?BUY21.0¢23.81Mar 5
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?BUY72.9¢6.859Mar 5
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?BUY21.0¢23.81Mar 5
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?SELL19.0¢27.77Mar 5
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?SELL74.3¢6.65Mar 5
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?BUY75.1¢6.658Mar 5
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?BUY18.0¢27.778Mar 5
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?BUY17.0¢29.412Mar 5
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY77.0¢6.494Mar 5
Pacers vs. ClippersSELL99.2¢21.99Mar 5
Pacers vs. ClippersSELL99.2¢21.99Mar 5
Pacers vs. ClippersBUY89.9¢22.247Mar 4
Pacers vs. ClippersBUY92.8¢21.557Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%14%10–20%21%20–30%30–50%50–70%36%70–80%14%80–90%14%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing18.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.01
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.7%
Win Consistency33.3%
Profit Factor0.48
Drawdown Resilience0.39
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.39
Weekly Sharpe est.0.29

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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