LuckyWin

0x592292...fb3388

Smart Score

Win Rate

70.6%

Total P&L

+$131.3K

Trade Count

995

Sharpe Ratio

-2.37

Sortino Ratio

-4.29

Max Drawdown

1049.5%

ROI

30.6%

Profit Factor

4.32

Kelly Fraction

0.543

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

023.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	50.8¢	2,015.85	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	51.8¢	62.81	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	51.8¢	20.36	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	51.1¢	1,021.39	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	83.0¢	411.27	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	83.0¢	0.13	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	52.1¢	970.08	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	83.0¢	1.205	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	52.4¢	3,853.99	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	54.9¢	9.107	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	54.9¢	39.63	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	54.9¢	16.04	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	54.9¢	1.66	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	54.9¢	19.752	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	54.9¢	245.1	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	54.7¢	863.26	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	54.7¢	136.735	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	54.9¢	9.107	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	54.9¢	36.43	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	54.9¢	414.01	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing23.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.29

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)21.3%

Win Consistency33.3%

Profit Factor0.61

Drawdown Resilience0.49

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.49

Weekly Sharpe est.0.37

Trading Activity995 trades · 14 active days

P&L Calendar

$61,4035d profit9d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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