lud78

0x22051c...698089
Smart Score
27
Win Rate
38.8%
Total P&L
+$3.5K
Trade Count
1,464
Sharpe Ratio
0.45
Sortino Ratio
9.38
Max Drawdown
323.1%
ROI
15.3%
Profit Factor
1.41
Kelly Fraction
0.113
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
026.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on March 5?BUY82.4¢42.453Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on March 6?BUY17.9¢195.58Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 5?BUY20.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 5?BUY20.0¢30Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 5?BUY20.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?BUY26.0¢128.36Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?BUY25.0¢6.26Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 5?BUY11.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 6?BUY77.0¢18Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C or below on March 6?BUY14.8¢236.033Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 6?BUY86.7¢40.386Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 6?BUY75.5¢46.377Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 5?BUY73.0¢47.972Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 6?BUY13.2¢265.6Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 4?BUY93.1¢37.581Mar 4
Meta (META) Up or Down on March 4?BUY98.8¢10.557Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on March 6?BUY79.0¢44.304Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 6?BUY68.0¢51.47Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 4?BUY78.0¢44.872Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C on March 4?BUY16.1¢217.551Mar 4
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%25%< 10%15%10–20%7%20–30%7%30–50%19%50–70%9%70–80%5%80–90%14%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing26.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.46
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.2%
Win Consistency38.7%
Profit Factor0.69
Drawdown Resilience0.56
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.56
Weekly Sharpe est.0.43
Trading Activity1,464 trades · 20 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$16,1960d profit20d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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