lumeror
0x5ec3d5...dedf24
Smart Score
45
Win Rate
57.1%
Total P&L
+$4
Trade Count
10
Sharpe Ratio
1.02
Sortino Ratio
4.30
Max Drawdown
59.6%
ROI
34.5%
Profit Factor
2.50
Kelly Fraction
0.343
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
045.3/100100
Recent Trades
| Market | Side | Price | Size | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? | BUY | 60.6¢ | 2.079 | Mar 5 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | BUY | 54.9¢ | 4.536 | Mar 4 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.6¢ | 166.667 | Mar 3 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.5¢ | 165.24 | Feb 24 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.5¢ | 34.76 | Feb 23 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.5¢ | 200 | Feb 23 |
| Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election? | BUY | 33.0¢ | 4.485 | Feb 23 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 12? | BUY | 75.0¢ | 1.693 | Feb 12 |
| Clippers vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 26.0¢ | 5.962 | Feb 8 |
| Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 224.5 | BUY | 51.0¢ | 3.549 | Jan 29 |
Analytics
Unlock full analytics on AccrueQuantitative Edge Profile
Developing45.3
Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager
Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.49
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)41.2%
Win Consistency50.0%
Profit Factor1.18
Drawdown Resilience0.95
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.95
Weekly Sharpe est.0.72
Trading Activity10 trades · 8 active days
P&L Calendar
$111d profit7d loss
Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude
Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue
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