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Lyric333

0x299043...a88f9f
Smart Score
18
Win Rate
92.3%
Total P&L
+$23
Trade Count
65
Sharpe Ratio
-2.03
Sortino Ratio
-1.31
Max Drawdown
375.0%
ROI
0.1%
Profit Factor
10.00
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
018.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL1.4¢3,057Mar 5
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY1.8¢1,416Mar 5
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY1.8¢240Mar 5
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY1.8¢1,401Mar 5
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL78.5¢744Mar 4
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL78.5¢461Mar 4
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY78.9¢100Mar 4
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY78.6¢1,105.01Mar 4
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL1.5¢319Mar 4
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY1.6¢319Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL98.2¢1,062Mar 3
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.2¢1,062Mar 3
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL96.9¢74Mar 3
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL97.1¢96.02Mar 3
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL97.1¢807Mar 3
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY96.5¢846Mar 3
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY96.5¢132Mar 3
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL98.2¢961Mar 3
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY98.1¢961Mar 2
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL1.5¢822Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%26%< 10%10–20%19%20–30%30–50%50–70%10%70–80%3%80–90%42%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing18.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.01
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.7%
Win Consistency42.1%
Profit Factor0.48
Drawdown Resilience0.39
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.39
Weekly Sharpe est.0.29
Trading Activity65 trades · 10 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$86d profit3d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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