magda88

0x41024e...2a3e95

Smart Score

Win Rate

70.5%

Total P&L

+$4

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.51

Sortino Ratio

-1.86

Max Drawdown

1424.3%

ROI

2.3%

Profit Factor

2.18

Kelly Fraction

0.381

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

014.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?	SELL	83.0¢	2.81	Mar 5
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?	SELL	99.3¢	3.01	Mar 3
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.4¢	3.018	Mar 2
Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	SELL	68.0¢	1.53	Mar 2
Will Asana (ASAN) beat quarterly earnings?	BUY	86.0¢	1.163	Feb 27
Will Macy's (M) beat quarterly earnings?	BUY	87.0¢	1.149	Feb 27
Will Burlington Stores (BURL) beat quarterly earnings?	BUY	83.0¢	1.205	Feb 27
Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	BUY	65.0¢	1.538	Feb 27
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	BUY	30.0¢	3.333	Feb 27
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?	SELL	93.0¢	2.12	Feb 27
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	BUY	95.4¢	5.241	Feb 25
Will Frontdoor (FTDR) beat quarterly earnings?	BUY	87.0¢	1.149	Feb 25
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	52.0¢	1.92	Feb 24
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?	BUY	94.0¢	2.128	Feb 24
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?	SELL	68.0¢	4.34	Feb 24
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	SELL	88.0¢	3.44	Feb 24
Will AMC Entertainment (AMC) beat quarterly earnings?	SELL	89.0¢	1.63	Feb 23
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?	SELL	89.0¢	2.35	Feb 23
Will Movement for a Better Hungary (Jobbik) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	SELL	0.1¢	1,000	Feb 23
Will Best Buy (BBY) beat quarterly earnings?	BUY	82.0¢	1.22	Feb 20

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing14.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.78

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)12.9%

Win Consistency37.8%

Profit Factor0.37

Drawdown Resilience0.30

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.30

Weekly Sharpe est.0.23

Trading Activity72 trades · 21 active days

P&L Calendar

$237d profit14d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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