MagnusYael

0x7038f2...a86647

Smart Score

Win Rate

25.9%

Total P&L

+$192

Trade Count

213

Sharpe Ratio

0.73

Sortino Ratio

208.77

Max Drawdown

76.8%

ROI

7.4%

Profit Factor

7.92

Kelly Fraction

0.226

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

057.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	BUY	15.0¢	5.4	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	BUY	3.0¢	33.333	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	BUY	21.0¢	6.429	Mar 5
Hawks vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5	BUY	4.7¢	21.252	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	BUY	14.0¢	7.143	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	BUY	49.0¢	2.265	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8AM ET	SELL	47.0¢	17.25	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8AM ET	BUY	31.0¢	17.258	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	0.1¢	500	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	5.0¢	306.31	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	10.4¢	9.604	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	29.4¢	80.24	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	10.3¢	375.19	Mar 3
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)	BUY	51.0¢	19.608	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	0.3¢	306.313	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	0.6¢	166.667	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	12.5¢	80.24	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	2.7¢	375.184	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	BUY	76.0¢	1.316	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	71.5¢	94.88	Mar 3

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active57.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.17

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)52.4%

Win Consistency42.5%

Profit Factor1.50

Drawdown Resilience1.21

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.21

Weekly Sharpe est.0.92

Trading Activity213 trades · 19 active days

P&L Calendar

+$546d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue