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makerk

0x42b9a6...02405f
Smart Score
24
Win Rate
84.2%
Total P&L
+$484
Trade Count
40
Sharpe Ratio
-0.75
Sortino Ratio
-0.57
Max Drawdown
2794.3%
ROI
13.6%
Profit Factor
3.18
Kelly Fraction
0.577
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
023.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY99.7¢83.801Mar 4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?SELL98.6¢84.74Mar 4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY97.4¢84.743Feb 26
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY99.4¢82.535Jan 26
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?SELL99.1¢82.79Jan 26
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?BUY95.4¢82.799Jan 17
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?SELL99.8¢79.15Jan 17
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY99.8¢79.158Dec 30
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?SELL79.0¢100Dec 21
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?BUY79.0¢100Dec 20
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?BUY94.0¢97.872Dec 3
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?SELL6.0¢600Dec 3
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?BUY14.0¢600Nov 28
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?SELL98.9¢100Nov 28
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?BUY98.9¢100Nov 27
Timberwolves vs. ThunderBUY76.0¢100Nov 26
Hawks vs. WizardsBUY82.0¢100Nov 25
Jazz vs. WarriorsBUY88.0¢100Nov 24
Trail Blazers vs. ThunderBUY91.0¢100Nov 23
Kings vs. NuggetsBUY17.0¢600Nov 22

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%7%10–20%20–30%30–50%7%50–70%7%70–80%11%80–90%67%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing23.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.31
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)21.8%
Win Consistency50.0%
Profit Factor0.62
Drawdown Resilience0.50
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.50
Weekly Sharpe est.0.38
Trading Activity40 trades · 23 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,2972d profit18d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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