maktouch

0x1cfbca...f286d5

Smart Score

Win Rate

31.6%

Total P&L

-$2.5K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.23

Sortino Ratio

-0.62

Max Drawdown

191.4%

ROI

-4.3%

Profit Factor

0.83

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

05.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the US strike Somalia next?	BUY	15.1¢	624.4	Feb 7
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?	SELL	25.7¢	354.8	Feb 7
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?	BUY	33.8¢	354.809	Jan 23
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	BUY	27.0¢	1,111.111	Jan 21
Grok 4.20 released by January 31?	BUY	66.6¢	150.132	Jan 15
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	BUY	3.2¢	1,547.992	Jan 15
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	26.2¢	191.142	Jan 15
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?	BUY	8.0¢	1,250	Jan 14
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	BUY	30.0¢	1,000	Jan 13
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?	BUY	28.6¢	1,023.221	Sep 2
Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025?	SELL	5.2¢	882.35	Sep 2
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?	SELL	9.0¢	243.9	Sep 2
Will Trump create a DOGE dividend in 2025?	SELL	1.9¢	1,562.5	Sep 2
5kt meteor strike in 2025?	SELL	75.0¢	260.79	Sep 2
5kt meteor strike in 2025?	BUY	66.6¢	260.791	Jun 2
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?	SELL	0.1¢	18,308.39	Apr 29
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?	SELL	0.1¢	5,037.71	Apr 29
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?	BUY	24.0¢	11,060.75	Apr 9
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?	SELL	82.0¢	2,234.26	Apr 9
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?	SELL	51.6¢	1,595.34	Apr 9

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing5.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.29

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)4.8%

Win Consistency33.3%

Profit Factor0.14

Drawdown Resilience0.11

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.11

Weekly Sharpe est.0.08

Trading Activity20 trades · 9 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,1721d profit7d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue