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0x4b9afb...6bb04f
Smart Score
50
Win Rate
57.5%
Total P&L
+$18.5K
Trade Count
989
Sharpe Ratio
0.51
Sortino Ratio
10.88
Max Drawdown
1071.2%
ROI
23.4%
Profit Factor
8.10
Kelly Fraction
0.504
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
050.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?SELL54.0¢0.83Feb 17
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?SELL0.1¢550Feb 17
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?SELL98.7¢1.97Feb 17
Will The Left win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?SELL99.5¢49Feb 17
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?SELL96.0¢179Feb 17
Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?SELL95.2¢179Feb 17
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?SELL95.4¢150Feb 17
Will St Pauli finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?SELL35.7¢15Feb 16
Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?SELL97.9¢25Feb 16
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?SELL93.0¢10.52Feb 16
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?SELL0.2¢1,118Feb 16
Will Hamburger SV be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?SELL10.7¢153.59Feb 16
Will Darren Fletcher be appointed as manager of Manchester United?SELL0.8¢656Feb 16
Will FW win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?SELL98.9¢50Feb 16
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?SELL26.0¢205Feb 16
Will FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?SELL68.8¢43.9Feb 16
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL1.4¢1,929.9Feb 16
GTA 6 launch postponed again?SELL27.8¢131Feb 16
Will FC Augsburg be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?SELL70.3¢55Feb 16
Will BSW win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?SELL98.5¢45Feb 16

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%33%30–50%57%50–70%5%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing50.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.76
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)45.7%
Win Consistency58.7%
Profit Factor1.31
Drawdown Resilience1.05
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.05
Weekly Sharpe est.0.80
Trading Activity989 trades · 29 active days
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P&L Calendar
+$9,01311d profit18d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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