manipchi

0x18d317...4bb84f

Smart Score

Win Rate

33.3%

Total P&L

+$607

Trade Count

2,636

Sharpe Ratio

0.19

Sortino Ratio

14.97

Max Drawdown

40.6%

ROI

9.4%

Profit Factor

1.29

Kelly Fraction

0.074

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

049.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?	BUY	23.0¢	59	Mar 5
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	69.0¢	14.493	Mar 1
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	49.1¢	30.52	Mar 1
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?	BUY	12.0¢	71.6	Feb 28
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?	BUY	12.0¢	5.68	Feb 28
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?	BUY	12.0¢	2.96	Feb 28
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?	BUY	12.0¢	5.68	Feb 28
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?	BUY	12.0¢	5.68	Feb 28
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?	BUY	12.0¢	5.68	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7PM ET	BUY	56.0¢	5	Feb 16
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7PM ET	SELL	45.0¢	5	Feb 16
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7PM ET	BUY	46.0¢	5	Feb 16
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7PM ET	SELL	54.0¢	5	Feb 16
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7PM ET	SELL	50.0¢	5	Feb 16
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7PM ET	BUY	44.0¢	5	Feb 16
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7PM ET	BUY	52.0¢	1.74	Feb 16
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7PM ET	SELL	48.0¢	5	Feb 16
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7PM ET	BUY	52.0¢	3.254	Feb 16
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7PM ET	SELL	41.0¢	5	Feb 16
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7PM ET	BUY	70.0¢	5	Feb 16

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing49.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.71

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)44.9%

Win Consistency55.6%

Profit Factor1.28

Drawdown Resilience1.04

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.04

Weekly Sharpe est.0.79

Trading Activity2,636 trades · 58 active days

P&L Calendar

$3,5152d profit56d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue