MANSN612

0x0cd71b...f482d1

Smart Score

Win Rate

88.5%

Total P&L

+$57

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.32

Sortino Ratio

-0.19

Max Drawdown

98.8%

ROI

0.5%

Profit Factor

6.42

Kelly Fraction

0.747

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

035.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	SELL	97.8¢	2.17	Mar 5
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	BUY	95.6¢	10	Feb 28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	SELL	96.0¢	19.1	Feb 18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	BUY	89.0¢	10	Feb 16
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	BUY	95.7¢	10	Feb 15
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?	BUY	95.0¢	10	Feb 14
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	SELL	50.0¢	70	Feb 13
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	BUY	67.0¢	18.63	Feb 6
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	BUY	67.0¢	51.37	Feb 6
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?	BUY	97.0¢	9.278	Feb 6
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	98.6¢	16.227	Feb 6
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?	BUY	93.0¢	19.355	Feb 6
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	19.101	Feb 2
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	BUY	92.0¢	2.174	Jan 20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?	BUY	95.9¢	9.385	Jan 8
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	BUY	38.0¢	7.895	Jan 8
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	BUY	24.0¢	12.5	Jan 8
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.5¢	35.176	Jan 8
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	BUY	96.7¢	20.692	Jan 3
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	BUY	93.0¢	38.71	Jan 3

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing35.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.95

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)32.3%

Win Consistency78.6%

Profit Factor0.92

Drawdown Resilience0.75

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.75

Weekly Sharpe est.0.57

Trading Activity45 trades · 27 active days

P&L Calendar

$8223d profit24d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue