marario

0x3d7403...72596b

Smart Score

Win Rate

10.4%

Total P&L

+$278

Trade Count

337

Sharpe Ratio

1.96

Sortino Ratio

376.34

Max Drawdown

33.0%

ROI

13.3%

Profit Factor

1.73

Kelly Fraction

0.044

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

056.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 2-8?	BUY	7.0¢	142.857	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 2-8?	BUY	9.0¢	111.667	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 2-8?	BUY	14.7¢	68.077	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?	BUY	11.2¢	89.286	Mar 4
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 2PM ET	BUY	0.9¢	110	Mar 4
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 2PM ET	BUY	2.9¢	34.483	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 2-8?	BUY	13.2¢	75.985	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 5?	BUY	8.0¢	125	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?	BUY	9.4¢	95.37	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 4?	BUY	1.0¢	1,000	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 2-8?	SELL	43.0¢	743.15	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?	SELL	4.9¢	694.48	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?	BUY	1.3¢	694.48	Mar 3
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 2-8?	BUY	6.7¢	743.15	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 3?	BUY	0.9¢	1,113.145	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 3?	BUY	0.9¢	109.999	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3?	BUY	0.3¢	3,333.333	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 3?	BUY	1.6¢	638.923	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 3?	BUY	2.0¢	492.457	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3?	BUY	0.4¢	2,500	Mar 3

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active56.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.12

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)51.6%

Win Consistency79.1%

Profit Factor1.47

Drawdown Resilience1.19

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.19

Weekly Sharpe est.0.91

Trading Activity337 trades · 24 active days

P&L Calendar

+$468d profit16d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue