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Marazafiino

0x9829f5...13d58f
Smart Score
18
Win Rate
46.6%
Total P&L
+$1.4K
Trade Count
653
Sharpe Ratio
0.32
Sortino Ratio
2.60
Max Drawdown
1795.5%
ROI
10.1%
Profit Factor
1.33
Kelly Fraction
0.116
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
017.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7AM ETBUY47.0¢2.128Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7AM ETBUY46.0¢2.174Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7AM ETBUY55.0¢1.818Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7AM ETBUY65.0¢7.692Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7AM ETBUY50.0¢10Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7AM ETBUY49.0¢10.204Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7AM ETBUY38.0¢13.158Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7AM ETBUY42.0¢23.81Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7AM ETBUY34.2¢14.623Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7AM ETBUY34.0¢14.706Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7AM ETBUY32.0¢3.125Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7AM ETBUY28.0¢3.571Mar 5
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY6.7¢100Feb 19
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY6.7¢300Feb 19
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY6.7¢224.231Feb 19
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?BUY96.7¢10.341Feb 8
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?BUY94.6¢10.571Feb 8
Will the US strike Iran next?BUY95.9¢10.428Feb 8
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?BUY95.0¢10.526Feb 8
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETSELL57.0¢1.4Feb 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%5%< 10%5%10–20%18%20–30%27%30–50%42%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing17.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.97
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.1%
Win Consistency43.2%
Profit Factor0.46
Drawdown Resilience0.37
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.37
Weekly Sharpe est.0.28
Trading Activity653 trades · 57 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$5,7836d profit51d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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