marchiori

0x729db8...cb4c8a

Smart Score

Win Rate

100.0%

Total P&L

+$51

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

5.55

Sortino Ratio

13.23

Max Drawdown

34.5%

ROI

2.9%

Profit Factor

10.00

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

072.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 5?	BUY	92.0¢	127.474	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 5?	SELL	99.9¢	117.34	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 5?	BUY	86.0¢	117.349	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 5?	SELL	99.9¢	101.03	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 5?	BUY	93.2¢	101.037	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 4?	BUY	89.7¢	94.19	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 4?	SELL	62.7¢	134.73	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 4?	BUY	67.3¢	134.739	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on March 3?	SELL	68.6¢	132.3	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on March 3?	BUY	86.3¢	132.301	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 3?	BUY	90.3¢	114.164	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on March 3?	SELL	99.9¢	103.19	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on March 3?	BUY	91.6¢	103.198	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 2?	SELL	99.9¢	94.62	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 2?	BUY	88.0¢	94.629	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 75°F or below on March 1?	SELL	99.9¢	83.4	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 75°F or below on March 1?	BUY	95.0¢	83.401	Feb 28
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C on February 28?	SELL	99.8¢	79.41	Feb 28
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C on February 28?	BUY	96.0¢	79.417	Feb 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Active72.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)66.3%

Win Consistency81.8%

Profit Factor1.89

Drawdown Resilience1.53

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.53

Weekly Sharpe est.1.16

Trading Activity19 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$2851d profit3d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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