marianicholss

0x80526d...bcf66b@EngbergPat44569

Smart Score

Win Rate

63.3%

Total P&L

+$23

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.23

Sortino Ratio

-0.18

Max Drawdown

119.9%

ROI

0.2%

Profit Factor

1.19

Kelly Fraction

0.102

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

09.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Western Carolina Catamounts vs. Chattanooga Mocs (W)	BUY	91.0¢	9.648	Mar 5
Kraken vs. Ducks	BUY	37.0¢	25.622	Dec 22
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?	BUY	99.4¢	8.048	Dec 15
Red Wings vs. Flames	BUY	49.0¢	3.347	Dec 10
Flames vs. Hurricanes	BUY	70.0¢	11.857	Nov 30
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?	BUY	92.0¢	2.902	Nov 22
Kings vs. Sharks	BUY	62.0¢	13.29	Nov 20
Kings vs. Sharks	BUY	62.0¢	15.645	Nov 20
Wild vs. Capitals	BUY	54.0¢	6.852	Oct 17
Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 12PM ET	BUY	51.0¢	4.627	Aug 11
Kings vs. Cavaliers	BUY	40.0¢	7.075	Jul 16
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2025 World Series?	SELL	99.4¢	2,501.22	Apr 28
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2025 World Series?	BUY	99.5¢	2,501.226	Apr 28
Will Norway win Eurovision 2025?	SELL	99.6¢	2,820.83	Apr 28
Will Norway win Eurovision 2025?	BUY	99.7¢	2,820.832	Apr 28
Lightning vs. Bruins	BUY	63.0¢	19.413	Mar 15
Will "Wicked" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?	SELL	99.5¢	28.91	Mar 1
Will West Ham finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?	SELL	99.8¢	29.75	Mar 1
Will "Wicked" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?	BUY	99.6¢	28.916	Feb 28
Will West Ham finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?	BUY	99.9¢	29.759	Feb 28

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing9.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.50

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.3%

Win Consistency43.3%

Profit Factor0.24

Drawdown Resilience0.19

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.19

Weekly Sharpe est.0.15

Trading Activity15 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$710d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue