maroon63

0x004aca...67c916

Smart Score

Win Rate

96.0%

Total P&L

+$0

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.34

Sortino Ratio

-1.34

Max Drawdown

590.0%

ROI

0.3%

Profit Factor

160.12

Kelly Fraction

0.954

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

028.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.3¢	1.1	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.2¢	1.11	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.6¢	1.31	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	1.4	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	1.43	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 6?	BUY	99.4¢	1.41	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 4?	BUY	99.9¢	1.27	Mar 2
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 3?	BUY	99.8¢	1.27	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	BUY	99.3¢	1.44	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 3?	BUY	99.7¢	1.19	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on March 3?	BUY	99.7¢	1.13	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 3?	BUY	99.7¢	1.43	Mar 2
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	1.2	Feb 27
Will there be at least 1,250 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	1.29	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	1.49	Feb 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	1.39	Feb 27
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?	BUY	99.4¢	1.44	Feb 27
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	BUY	99.9¢	1.16	Feb 27
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in February?	BUY	99.5¢	1.43	Feb 27
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?	BUY	99.9¢	1.38	Feb 27

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing28.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.58

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.2%

Win Consistency44.0%

Profit Factor0.75

Drawdown Resilience0.60

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.60

Weekly Sharpe est.0.46

Trading Activity27 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

$360d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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