MasakoPing

0x1d594b...5b3bb8@MasakoPing50130

Smart Score

Win Rate

60.0%

Total P&L

+$231

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.57

Sortino Ratio

-1.48

Max Drawdown

446799.8%

ROI

24.8%

Profit Factor

2.70

Kelly Fraction

0.378

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

011/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	38.5¢	96.12	Mar 5
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	39.3¢	158.374	Mar 5
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	38.0¢	30	Mar 5
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	63.0¢	43.48	Mar 5
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	64.0¢	43.38	Mar 5
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	63.0¢	2.838	Mar 5
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	63.0¢	176.27	Mar 5
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	SELL	0.1¢	620.1	Feb 14
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	SELL	0.1¢	589.9	Feb 14
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	0.1¢	1,210	Feb 14
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?	BUY	98.7¢	1.206	Feb 5
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?	BUY	96.0¢	1.198	Jan 17
Will Trae Young win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	SELL	0.1¢	666.05	Jan 17
Will Trae Young win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	SELL	0.1¢	483.95	Jan 17
Will Trae Young win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	BUY	0.1¢	1,150	Jan 17
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?	BUY	97.6¢	1.148	Jan 10
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?	BUY	97.9¢	1.113	Jan 6
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	SELL	0.1¢	1,090	Jan 5
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	BUY	0.1¢	1,090	Jan 5
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?	SELL	45.0¢	2.43	Dec 30

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing11

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.60

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)10.0%

Win Consistency13.5%

Profit Factor0.29

Drawdown Resilience0.23

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.23

Weekly Sharpe est.0.18

Trading Activity83 trades · 39 active days

P&L Calendar

$6351d profit29d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue