masseyjill

0x9218f7...136696

Smart Score

Win Rate

82.9%

Total P&L

-$113

Trade Count

105

Sharpe Ratio

-0.26

Sortino Ratio

-0.18

Max Drawdown

1463.0%

ROI

-2.4%

Profit Factor

0.55

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

010.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.6¢	22.018	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	5.17	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	97.6¢	16.107	Feb 24
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	19.279	Feb 22
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	16.166	Feb 18
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	37.397	Feb 15
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	28.328	Feb 13
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January?	BUY	99.8¢	33.497	Jan 30
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.7¢	21.434	Jan 18
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	4.6¢	37.826	Jan 15
Trump out as President in 2025?	BUY	99.8¢	1.593	Dec 27
Maduro out in 2025?	BUY	97.0¢	37.309	Dec 25
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	BUY	96.9¢	17.719	Dec 9
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	BUY	99.0¢	14.949	Dec 2
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	BUY	71.0¢	261.056	Nov 20
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?	BUY	1.0¢	127	Oct 27
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?	BUY	99.4¢	165.241	Oct 26
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	BUY	93.2¢	211.448	Sep 16
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?	BUY	98.8¢	5.081	Jul 27
Israel military action against Iran in July?	BUY	66.0¢	203.394	Jun 30

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing10.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.56

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)9.3%

Win Consistency65.4%

Profit Factor0.27

Drawdown Resilience0.21

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.21

Weekly Sharpe est.0.16

Trading Activity76 trades · 65 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,44716d profit49d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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