mattheusmaximus

0x395911...c8c73d

Smart Score

Win Rate

56.4%

Total P&L

-$2.7K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.31

Sortino Ratio

-0.40

Max Drawdown

341.0%

ROI

-5.1%

Profit Factor

0.70

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

06.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	SELL	15.0¢	6,250	Mar 5
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	SELL	13.0¢	6,666.66	Mar 5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?	BUY	59.0¢	1,040.661	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	SELL	17.4¢	3,529.36	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	50.0¢	10,003.009	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	28.3¢	3,529.366	Mar 4
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?	BUY	69.0¢	724.638	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	85.0¢	588.235	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	83.7¢	477.897	Mar 4
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?	BUY	67.9¢	147.337	Mar 4
Will Trump say "China" 3+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?	BUY	54.5¢	366.667	Mar 4
Will Hillary say "President" 5+ times during her Epstein testimony?	BUY	1.3¢	7,436.286	Mar 4
Will Hillary say "Bill" or "Clinton" during her Epstein testimony?	BUY	1.6¢	6,329.1	Mar 4
Will Hillary say "White House" during her Epstein testimony?	BUY	1.8¢	5,451.779	Mar 4
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	BUY	90.0¢	555.556	Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	BUY	61.0¢	327.869	Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	BUY	79.0¢	126.582	Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	BUY	91.0¢	109.89	Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	96.6¢	103.52	Mar 4
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	27.0¢	3,703.704	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing6.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.36

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)6.0%

Win Consistency60.3%

Profit Factor0.17

Drawdown Resilience0.14

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.14

Weekly Sharpe est.0.11

Trading Activity86 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$21,7741d profit9d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue