max-supreme

max-supreme

0x42222b...fa3df6@max2jrp
Smart Score
21
Win Rate
43.6%
Total P&L
+$13
Trade Count
232
Sharpe Ratio
0.78
Sortino Ratio
4.06
Max Drawdown
529.6%
ROI
1.2%
Profit Factor
1.16
Kelly Fraction
0.061
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
021.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on March 5?BUY2.4¢42.997Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 5?SELL3.1¢33.21Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 5?BUY1.9¢57.632Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 5?SELL5.0¢8Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 5?SELL1.2¢58.03Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 5?BUY2.5¢58.034Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 5?BUY7.5¢116.87Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 4?SELL15.8¢31.15Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 4?SELL8.2¢41.2Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 4?BUY19.8¢31.15Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 4?BUY7.3¢41.205Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 4?SELL18.3¢54.79Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 4?BUY7.3¢27.397Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 4?BUY7.3¢27.397Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 4?SELL31.0¢16.3Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 4?BUY30.0¢16.3Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL40.0¢12.23Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY39.0¢12.231Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL37.6¢12.69Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY36.0¢12.694Mar 3
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%8%< 10%17%10–20%12%20–30%29%30–50%22%50–70%8%70–80%3%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing21.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.18
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.5%
Win Consistency41.7%
Profit Factor0.56
Drawdown Resilience0.45
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.45
Weekly Sharpe est.0.34
Trading Activity232 trades · 12 active days
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P&L Calendar
$1504d profit8d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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