mdv1984

0x10b599...67a545

Smart Score

Win Rate

42.9%

Total P&L

+$113

Trade Count

163

Sharpe Ratio

1.22

Sortino Ratio

16.21

Max Drawdown

1045.1%

ROI

8.7%

Profit Factor

12.47

Kelly Fraction

0.394

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

046.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 6?	SELL	75.0¢	2	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 6?	BUY	77.0¢	2	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 6?	SELL	75.0¢	2	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 6?	BUY	84.0¢	2	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 6?	SELL	81.0¢	2	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 6?	BUY	83.0¢	2	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 4?	SELL	94.4¢	2.01	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 4?	BUY	94.6¢	2.008	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 4?	SELL	95.4¢	2	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 4?	BUY	95.8¢	2.004	Mar 4
Hersonissos: Toby Samuel vs Raul Brancaccio	BUY	28.0¢	5.179	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 2?	SELL	25.0¢	4.16	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 2?	BUY	16.0¢	4.16	Mar 2
Antalya: Anhelina Kalinina vs Katarina Zavatska	SELL	78.0¢	3.71	Feb 26
Antalya: Anhelina Kalinina vs Katarina Zavatska	SELL	21.0¢	192.76	Feb 26
Antalya: Anhelina Kalinina vs Katarina Zavatska	SELL	28.0¢	7.25	Feb 26
Antalya: Anhelina Kalinina vs Katarina Zavatska	BUY	27.0¢	20	Feb 26
Antalya: Anhelina Kalinina vs Katarina Zavatska	SELL	28.0¢	40	Feb 26
Antalya: Anhelina Kalinina vs Katarina Zavatska	SELL	30.0¢	20	Feb 26
Antalya: Anhelina Kalinina vs Katarina Zavatska	BUY	32.0¢	20	Feb 26

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing46.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.58

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)42.7%

Win Consistency42.6%

Profit Factor1.22

Drawdown Resilience0.98

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.98

Weekly Sharpe est.0.75

Trading Activity163 trades · 20 active days

P&L Calendar

$658d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue