mECH

0x489127...6b14f3

Smart Score

Win Rate

63.2%

Total P&L

-$9

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.49

Sortino Ratio

9.75

Max Drawdown

20.0%

ROI

-0.1%

Profit Factor

0.06

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

028.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 7?	BUY	91.0¢	7.692	Mar 5
Will Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?	BUY	88.0¢	7.955	Mar 5
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	99.6¢	334.337	Mar 5
Will Ludogorets win on 2025-10-02?	BUY	82.0¢	2.439	Oct 2
Will FCSB vs. BSC Young Boys end in a draw?	BUY	73.0¢	2.74	Oct 2
Will $BTC reach 75k before October?	BUY	99.3¢	15.106	Sep 26
Will $BTC reach 70k before October?	BUY	96.0¢	20.833	Sep 26
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 before October?	BUY	97.3¢	10.277	Sep 26
草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)?	BUY	68.0¢	4.412	Sep 26
Will Trump say "Trans" during Elon interview?	BUY	42.0¢	9.524	Aug 11
Will Trump say "Mars" during Elon interview?	BUY	24.0¢	8.333	Aug 11
Will Trump say "Censor" or "Censorship" during Elon interview?	BUY	53.0¢	3.774	Aug 11
Will Belichick head coach the Chargers in the 2024-25 NFL season?	BUY	99.7¢	50.15	Aug 11
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) greater than $40b one day after launch?	BUY	99.3¢	302.236	Aug 11
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, R House	BUY	99.4¢	301.811	Aug 11
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, D House	SELL	99.4¢	662.63	Aug 11
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, D House	BUY	99.6¢	662.631	Aug 11
2024 Balance of Power: Other	SELL	99.4¢	665.31	Aug 11
2024 Balance of Power: Other	BUY	99.6¢	665.311	Aug 11
Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?	SELL	99.1¢	668.67	Aug 11

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing28.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.55

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.7%

Win Consistency52.6%

Profit Factor0.73

Drawdown Resilience0.59

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.59

Weekly Sharpe est.0.45

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue