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megadarkparticle

0xa67d47...19c6f9
Smart Score
21
Win Rate
12.0%
Total P&L
-$6.0K
Trade Count
970
Sharpe Ratio
1.26
Sortino Ratio
113.97
Max Drawdown
2032.0%
ROI
-395.8%
Profit Factor
0.69
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
021/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Communist Party of Nepal (Unified Marxist–Leninist) (CPN-UML) win less than 20 seats in Nepal’s 2026 House of Representatives election?BUY5.0¢70Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on March 5?BUY3.0¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on March 5?BUY3.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on March 5?BUY3.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on March 5?BUY3.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on March 5?BUY3.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on March 5?BUY3.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on March 5?BUY3.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on March 5?BUY3.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on March 5?BUY3.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on March 5?BUY3.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 88°F or higher on March 6?BUY1.0¢100Mar 4
Will Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?BUY1.0¢14.5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on March 5?BUY3.0¢4.08Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 5?BUY9.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on March 5?BUY1.6¢10Mar 4
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $3.00-$4.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?BUY1.0¢7.73Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 6?BUY1.0¢100Mar 4
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 8 be 100 or more?BUY1.0¢10Mar 4
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 8 be 100 or more?BUY1.0¢10Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%86%< 10%6%10–20%4%20–30%4%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing21

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.16
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.1%
Win Consistency36.6%
Profit Factor0.55
Drawdown Resilience0.44
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.44
Weekly Sharpe est.0.34

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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