Megawinnet

0x428e3e...96472f

Smart Score

Win Rate

7.7%

Total P&L

+$216

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.40

Sortino Ratio

94.54

Max Drawdown

4158.7%

ROI

30.2%

Profit Factor

1.92

Kelly Fraction

0.037

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

023.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 9?	BUY	2.0¢	100	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 8?	BUY	1.2¢	30	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 7?	BUY	0.8¢	250	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 6?	BUY	0.5¢	1,000	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?	BUY	2.7¢	185.145	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 5?	BUY	5.0¢	100	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 5?	BUY	0.4¢	1,250	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 2-8?	BUY	17.0¢	29.412	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?	BUY	14.6¢	68.493	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?	BUY	4.9¢	101.471	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?	BUY	10.9¢	45.872	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?	BUY	1.4¢	71.429	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?	SELL	35.0¢	52	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 4?	BUY	0.3¢	333.333	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	BUY	21.0¢	23.81	Mar 3
US forces enter Iran by March 3?	BUY	1.3¢	76.923	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 4?	BUY	0.8¢	125	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?	BUY	4.8¢	104.167	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 4?	BUY	4.7¢	106.383	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 4?	BUY	0.9¢	111.111	Mar 3

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing23.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.31

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)21.8%

Win Consistency23.1%

Profit Factor0.62

Drawdown Resilience0.50

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.50

Weekly Sharpe est.0.38

Trading Activity62 trades · 8 active days

P&L Calendar

+$1392d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue