MelisaTea

0x190814...4abc27

Smart Score

Win Rate

83.6%

Total P&L

-$33

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.06

Sortino Ratio

-0.03

Max Drawdown

146.7%

ROI

-0.1%

Profit Factor

-0.80

Kelly Fraction

1.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

01.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?	SELL	90.3¢	12.73	Mar 5
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 31, 2026?	BUY	98.8¢	5.071	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $690b and $700b on March 31?	BUY	95.0¢	7.368	Mar 5
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	98.6¢	7.099	Mar 5
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?	BUY	93.3¢	7.503	Mar 5
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FriendlyCampers (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	BUY	85.0¢	10.588	Mar 5
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	97.7¢	35.72	Mar 5
SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?	BUY	96.7¢	12.73	Feb 18
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	BUY	88.0¢	9.091	Feb 18
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	96.2¢	8.316	Feb 18
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.6¢	63.534	Jan 26
Will imo video calls and chat HD be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?	BUY	99.6¢	6.024	Jan 26
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	98.6¢	6.085	Jan 26
Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 27, 2026?	BUY	99.4¢	22.133	Jan 26
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?	BUY	99.5¢	20.1	Dec 6
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?	BUY	99.9¢	20.02	Dec 6
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	BUY	90.0¢	5.556	Dec 6
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?	BUY	99.9¢	11.011	Dec 6
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	97.8¢	35.726	Oct 24
Will Pedro Pascal be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?	BUY	96.8¢	41.343	Oct 24

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing1.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.10

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)1.6%

Win Consistency62.7%

Profit Factor0.05

Drawdown Resilience0.04

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.04

Weekly Sharpe est.0.03

Trading Activity37 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,4981d profit10d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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