memegirl

0x506e3a...dc142d

Smart Score

Win Rate

58.3%

Total P&L

+$2

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.97

Sortino Ratio

-0.95

Max Drawdown

28568.9%

ROI

0.3%

Profit Factor

1.39

Kelly Fraction

0.163

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

05.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	96.7¢	18	Mar 5
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	98.2¢	18	Mar 5
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	98.3¢	19	Mar 5
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	98.0¢	18.5	Mar 5
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	98.1¢	24	Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	96.8¢	25	Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	96.5¢	26	Feb 28
Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in February?	SELL	94.0¢	6	Feb 24
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?	BUY	80.0¢	15	Feb 22
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	98.7¢	5.8	Feb 22
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	98.7¢	12	Feb 22
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	98.7¢	12	Feb 22
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	98.8¢	30	Feb 22
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	97.5¢	14.45	Feb 22
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	97.5¢	16	Feb 22
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	97.6¢	15	Feb 22
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	97.6¢	16	Feb 22
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	96.6¢	12.65	Feb 22
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	96.6¢	5	Feb 22
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	96.6¢	13	Feb 22

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing5.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.31

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)5.2%

Win Consistency38.9%

Profit Factor0.15

Drawdown Resilience0.12

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.12

Weekly Sharpe est.0.09

Trading Activity64 trades · 8 active days

P&L Calendar

$893d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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