MERFC3

0x3fa1e9...0ee28c

Smart Score

Win Rate

65.9%

Total P&L

+$2

Trade Count

472

Sharpe Ratio

0.25

Sortino Ratio

2.89

Max Drawdown

1123.6%

ROI

0.1%

Profit Factor

1.09

Kelly Fraction

0.053

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

017/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	BUY	84.0¢	7.143	Mar 5
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	SELL	78.0¢	11.56	Mar 5
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY	78.0¢	11.538	Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	94.5¢	8.45	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4AM ET	SELL	99.9¢	14.14	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4AM ET	BUY	99.0¢	14.141	Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	94.7¢	8.448	Mar 5
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	82.0¢	12.2	Mar 5
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	82.0¢	12.195	Mar 5
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	SELL	96.0¢	6.83	Mar 5
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	SELL	96.0¢	2.535	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ET	SELL	99.8¢	19.19	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ET	BUY	99.0¢	19.192	Mar 5
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	96.0¢	9.375	Mar 5
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	SELL	83.0¢	11.66	Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	SELL	51.0¢	19.25	Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.3¢	7.2	Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	97.4¢	7.187	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	97.5¢	9.24	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	97.6¢	9.221	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing17

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.94

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)15.5%

Win Consistency42.0%

Profit Factor0.44

Drawdown Resilience0.36

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.36

Weekly Sharpe est.0.27

Trading Activity472 trades · 37 active days

P&L Calendar

$5166d profit31d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue