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mickscrubby

0x4bcb39...a0634f
Smart Score
27
Win Rate
43.4%
Total P&L
-$203
Trade Count
3,999
Sharpe Ratio
2.24
Sortino Ratio
15.03
Max Drawdown
6000.0%
ROI
-2.4%
Profit Factor
0.94
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
026.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 6?BUY20.0¢21.66Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 6?BUY19.0¢25Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 6?BUY19.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 6?BUY13.3¢25Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 6?BUY14.5¢25Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETSELL12.0¢5.99Feb 24
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETSELL77.0¢5.87Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETBUY19.0¢6Feb 24
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETSELL20.0¢5.96Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETBUY87.0¢6.92Feb 24
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETBUY78.0¢6Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETBUY87.0¢3.077Feb 24
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETBUY17.0¢6Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETBUY10.0¢10Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETSELL8.0¢9.96Feb 24
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETSELL12.0¢7.96Feb 24
Solana Up or Down - February 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETSELL10.0¢4.95Feb 24
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETBUY14.0¢8Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETBUY11.0¢2.247Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETBUY11.0¢5.299Feb 24

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%9%10–20%13%20–30%38%30–50%29%50–70%6%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing26.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.46
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.2%
Win Consistency61.0%
Profit Factor0.69
Drawdown Resilience0.56
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.56
Weekly Sharpe est.0.43
Trading Activity3,999 trades · 5 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$3,8050d profit5d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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