milize

0x076ca0...5e4e7b

Smart Score

Win Rate

53.9%

Total P&L

+$450.8K

Trade Count

936

Sharpe Ratio

1.58

Sortino Ratio

291.67

Max Drawdown

45.9%

ROI

919.9%

Profit Factor

49.09

Kelly Fraction

0.528

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

076.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	SELL	20.0¢	17	Mar 4
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	SELL	92.8¢	27.381	Mar 4
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	32.0¢	27.498	Mar 4
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?	SELL	91.0¢	10	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	60.0¢	263.84	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	60.0¢	6.16	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	86.2¢	62.99	Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	55.0¢	240.93	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	61.0¢	230	Mar 4
Will Nepali Congress win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?	SELL	87.0¢	95.81	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	BUY	18.0¢	250	Mar 4
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	30.0¢	14.286	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	87.1¢	70	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	89.1¢	52.5	Mar 4
Will Nepali Congress win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?	SELL	87.0¢	39	Mar 4
Will Nepali Congress win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?	SELL	87.0¢	11	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	31.5¢	37.29	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	61.0¢	500	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	89.4¢	37.5	Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 6, 2026?	BUY	17.5¢	49.45	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Pro76.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.20

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)69.5%

Win Consistency55.2%

Profit Factor1.99

Drawdown Resilience1.60

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.60

Weekly Sharpe est.1.22

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue