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MilliGuru

0x5f7418...a8a2ac
Smart Score
5
Win Rate
28.3%
Total P&L
-$1.3K
Trade Count
198
Sharpe Ratio
0.61
Sortino Ratio
49.90
Max Drawdown
192.0%
ROI
-24.1%
Profit Factor
0.09
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
05.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 2-8?BUY83.6¢17.943Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL0.1¢48.3Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL1.2¢44Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL24.0¢43Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 3?BUY50.0¢9.88Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 3?BUY30.0¢9.767Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY0.6¢166.667Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY2.1¢48.302Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY10.0¢44Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY50.0¢43Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL0.1¢1,116.96Mar 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL0.1¢625Mar 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.5¢400Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.4¢625Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY3.1¢80.645Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY2.9¢86.207Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY2.9¢86.207Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY5.5¢90.909Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY5.3¢94.34Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY5.4¢92.593Feb 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%45%< 10%8%10–20%10%20–30%10%30–50%8%50–70%8%70–80%7%80–90%5%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing5.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.28
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)4.6%
Win Consistency45.0%
Profit Factor0.13
Drawdown Resilience0.11
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.11
Weekly Sharpe est.0.08
Trading Activity198 trades · 28 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,6689d profit19d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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