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Minecraft

Minecraft

0x094e3e...70f10b
Smart Score
30
Win Rate
56.1%
Total P&L
+$180.7K
Trade Count
989
Sharpe Ratio
0.10
Sortino Ratio
0.57
Max Drawdown
397.0%
ROI
72.3%
Profit Factor
3.52
Kelly Fraction
0.401
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
029.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?BUY96.4¢455.74Mar 2
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?SELL98.9¢444Mar 2
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?BUY95.9¢10,190.7Feb 27
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?SELL4.1¢555Feb 27
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY94.0¢8,508.01Feb 27
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?SELL6.2¢555Feb 27
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?BUY21.0¢2.281Feb 6
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?BUY23.9¢222Jan 30
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?BUY0.9¢2,371.61Jan 25
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?BUY53.0¢21.09Jan 24
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?BUY53.0¢21.277Jan 24
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?BUY53.0¢82.835Jan 24
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?BUY53.0¢29.787Jan 23
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?BUY53.0¢45Jan 23
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?BUY53.0¢22Jan 23
Obama arrested before 2027?BUY80.7¢1.02Jan 22
Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?BUY94.6¢11.09Jan 21
Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?BUY94.6¢67.143Jan 21
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?SELL93.8¢36.48Jan 20
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?SELL94.1¢15.25Jan 20

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%8%< 10%7%10–20%7%20–30%13%30–50%17%50–70%10%70–80%15%80–90%22%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing29.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.63
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.9%
Win Consistency51.2%
Profit Factor0.77
Drawdown Resilience0.62
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.62
Weekly Sharpe est.0.47
Trading Activity989 trades · 39 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$163,1173d profit36d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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