Mintlune

0x255946...442ef4

Smart Score

Win Rate

28.5%

Total P&L

+$448

Trade Count

1,730

Sharpe Ratio

0.15

Sortino Ratio

2.36

Max Drawdown

2512.9%

ROI

9.2%

Profit Factor

1.36

Kelly Fraction

0.075

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

017.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in March?	BUY	2.0¢	50	Mar 5
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?	BUY	13.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in March?	BUY	1.6¢	14.09	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?	BUY	6.0¢	16.667	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?	BUY	4.4¢	22.727	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?	BUY	2.8¢	35.714	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?	BUY	1.9¢	52.632	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?	BUY	1.1¢	90.909	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?	BUY	0.4¢	250	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?	BUY	0.4¢	250	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?	BUY	1.1¢	90.909	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?	BUY	1.9¢	52.632	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?	BUY	6.0¢	16.667	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?	BUY	4.3¢	23.256	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?	BUY	2.7¢	36.534	Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "Stock Market" during the next White House Press Briefing?	BUY	20.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Dell" during tech signing event on Wednesday?	BUY	10.0¢	20	Mar 4
Will Trump's remarks not air?	BUY	7.0¢	28.571	Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "Fake news" during the next White House Press Briefing?	BUY	20.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "Stock Market" during the next White House Press Briefing?	BUY	20.0¢	5	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing17.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.98

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.3%

Win Consistency31.3%

Profit Factor0.47

Drawdown Resilience0.38

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.38

Weekly Sharpe est.0.29

Trading Activity1,730 trades · 105 active days

P&L Calendar

$57428d profit76d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue