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MisterMusket

0x1feee7...a9fb0e
Smart Score
34
Win Rate
45.7%
Total P&L
-$222
Trade Count
141
Sharpe Ratio
0.31
Sortino Ratio
0.98
Max Drawdown
48.9%
ROI
-6.5%
Profit Factor
0.69
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
034.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?BUY31.9¢74.8Mar 5
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?BUY16.0¢100Mar 5
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?BUY23.0¢100Mar 5
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?BUY15.0¢5Mar 5
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?BUY31.0¢49Mar 5
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?BUY4.0¢73Mar 4
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?SELL32.1¢8Mar 4
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?BUY3.9¢105Mar 4
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?BUY20.0¢8Mar 4
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?BUY33.0¢18Mar 4
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?BUY26.0¢26Mar 4
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?BUY32.9¢15Mar 4
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?BUY10.0¢200Mar 4
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?BUY25.0¢40Mar 4
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?BUY7.0¢190Feb 28
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?SELL46.0¢29Feb 28
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?BUY11.0¢86.5Feb 28
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?SELL34.0¢28Feb 28
Will "Jackass" or "Moron" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 8)BUY42.0¢6.6Feb 28
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?SELL55.4¢5Feb 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%14%< 10%20%10–20%17%20–30%31%30–50%12%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing34.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.88
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)31.0%
Win Consistency38.9%
Profit Factor0.89
Drawdown Resilience0.72
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.72
Weekly Sharpe est.0.55
Trading Activity86 trades · 15 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$6753d profit12d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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