mochiko

mochiko

0x712031...61201b
Smart Score
40
Win Rate
56.0%
Total P&L
+$99.4K
Trade Count
1,000
Sharpe Ratio
0.10
Sortino Ratio
0.55
Max Drawdown
197.6%
ROI
8.7%
Profit Factor
8.18
Kelly Fraction
0.491
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
039.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?BUY43.0¢11.11Dec 24
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?BUY43.0¢44.94Dec 24
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY21.0¢100Dec 24
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY21.0¢100Dec 24
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?SELL20.0¢30Dec 24
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?SELL43.0¢494Dec 24
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?SELL10.8¢2,000Dec 24
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?BUY37.0¢9Dec 23
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY20.0¢28.5Dec 23
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?BUY38.0¢54.76Dec 23
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?BUY38.0¢69.16Dec 23
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?BUY38.0¢69.16Dec 23
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?BUY38.0¢100Dec 23
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?BUY38.0¢100Dec 23
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?BUY38.0¢100Dec 23
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?BUY38.0¢42.3Dec 23
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?BUY9.3¢100Dec 23
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?BUY9.3¢100Dec 23
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?BUY9.3¢100Dec 23
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?BUY9.3¢100Dec 23
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%11%< 10%10–20%6%20–30%28%30–50%15%50–70%8%70–80%13%80–90%18%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing39.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.19
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)36.3%
Win Consistency54.8%
Profit Factor1.04
Drawdown Resilience0.84
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.84
Weekly Sharpe est.0.64
Trading Activity46 trades · 4 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1191d profit3d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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