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molodoyy

molodoyy

0x564f22...057026
Smart Score
31
Win Rate
64.4%
Total P&L
-$127
Trade Count
994
Sharpe Ratio
1.04
Sortino Ratio
15.39
Max Drawdown
1684.0%
ROI
-0.3%
Profit Factor
0.98
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
030.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY20.0¢20Mar 4
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY20.0¢20.62Mar 4
Will "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?SELL90.0¢11.33Mar 4
Will "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?SELL90.0¢1.17Mar 4
Will "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?BUY80.0¢12.5Mar 4
Will "Most Advanced" or "Most Powerful" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?BUY85.0¢58.824Mar 4
Will "Engineering" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?BUY86.5¢11.563Mar 4
Will "Most Advanced" or "Most Powerful" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?BUY84.5¢41.412Mar 4
Will "Most Advanced" or "Most Powerful" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?BUY84.6¢17.721Mar 4
Will "Apple Intelligence" be said 5+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?BUY80.4¢7.463Mar 4
Will "Most Advanced" or "Most Powerful" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?BUY79.2¢12.63Mar 4
Will Claude go down 0 times in March?BUY98.5¢20.305Mar 4
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?BUY80.0¢125Mar 4
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?BUY80.0¢250Mar 4
Will "Apple Watch" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?SELL90.0¢65.19Mar 4
Will "Most Advanced" or "Most Powerful" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?SELL85.0¢89.02Mar 4
Will "M5" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?SELL90.0¢57.73Mar 4
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?BUY80.0¢12.5Mar 4
Will "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?SELL70.0¢50.5Mar 4
Will "Google" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?SELL7.0¢0.89Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%16%< 10%8%10–20%8%20–30%13%30–50%14%50–70%6%70–80%7%80–90%29%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing30.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.70
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.1%
Win Consistency56.4%
Profit Factor0.80
Drawdown Resilience0.65
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.65
Weekly Sharpe est.0.49
Trading Activity994 trades · 21 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$15,3258d profit13d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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