moonrise-clump

0x48c4eb...7219e5

Smart Score

Win Rate

65.4%

Total P&L

+$0

Trade Count

422

Sharpe Ratio

-0.34

Sortino Ratio

-0.45

Max Drawdown

2152.4%

ROI

0.0%

Profit Factor

1.01

Kelly Fraction

0.007

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

07.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?	BUY	17.0¢	5.882	Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 31?	BUY	97.0¢	1.031	Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 16?	BUY	96.0¢	1.042	Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 9?	BUY	92.0¢	1.087	Mar 5
Will Zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?	BUY	99.4¢	10.06	Mar 5
Will "War Machine" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	BUY	90.0¢	1.111	Mar 5
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	BUY	94.8¢	5.274	Mar 5
Will the US strike 6 countries in 2026?	BUY	77.9¢	3.851	Mar 5
Will the US strike 5 countries in 2026?	BUY	95.9¢	10.428	Mar 5
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by March 31?	BUY	70.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by March 31?	BUY	68.0¢	1.471	Mar 4
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by March 31?	BUY	95.0¢	1.053	Mar 4
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by March 31?	BUY	92.0¢	1.087	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by March 31?	BUY	48.0¢	2.083	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by March 31?	BUY	38.0¢	2.632	Mar 4
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?	BUY	54.0¢	1.852	Mar 4
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?	BUY	19.0¢	5.263	Mar 4
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 7, 2026?	BUY	29.0¢	3.448	Mar 4
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 6, 2026?	BUY	22.0¢	4.545	Mar 4
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 5, 2026?	BUY	28.0¢	3.571	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing7.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.43

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)7.2%

Win Consistency52.3%

Profit Factor0.21

Drawdown Resilience0.17

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.17

Weekly Sharpe est.0.13

Trading Activity422 trades · 30 active days

P&L Calendar

$8940d profit30d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue