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moredeneg

0x032431...2abed7
Smart Score
44
Win Rate
50.0%
Total P&L
+$2.0K
Trade Count
115
Sharpe Ratio
0.33
Sortino Ratio
49.68
Max Drawdown
104.9%
ROI
51.8%
Profit Factor
6.35
Kelly Fraction
0.421
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
044.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?SELL70.0¢76Mar 5
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?BUY32.9¢76.003Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?BUY0.6¢166.667Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?BUY8.0¢12.5Mar 2
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague PlayoffsBUY60.0¢83.333Feb 28
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague PlayoffsBUY61.2¢81.703Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETBUY35.0¢14.286Feb 12
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETBUY54.0¢9.259Feb 12
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETBUY51.0¢9.804Feb 12
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETBUY49.0¢10.204Feb 12
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETBUY50.0¢10Feb 12
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETBUY46.0¢10.87Feb 11
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETBUY43.0¢11.628Feb 11
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETBUY30.0¢16.667Feb 11
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETBUY39.0¢25.641Feb 11
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETBUY20.0¢25Feb 11
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETBUY31.0¢16.129Feb 11
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETBUY31.0¢16.129Feb 11
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETBUY45.0¢22.222Feb 11
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETBUY49.0¢20.408Feb 11

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%17%< 10%6%10–20%14%20–30%24%30–50%20%50–70%10%70–80%80–90%7%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing44.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.44
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)40.3%
Win Consistency33.8%
Profit Factor1.15
Drawdown Resilience0.93
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.93
Weekly Sharpe est.0.71
Trading Activity115 trades · 31 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$1,1405d profit26d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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