Morrisda

0x38575c...2e6605

Smart Score

Win Rate

39.5%

Total P&L

+$1.3K

Trade Count

253

Sharpe Ratio

0.00

Sortino Ratio

0.00

Max Drawdown

395.2%

ROI

25.4%

Profit Factor

2.37

Kelly Fraction

0.229

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

019.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	2.7¢	111.111	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?	BUY	19.5¢	153.546	Mar 4
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	BUY	54.0¢	92.593	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	BUY	16.8¢	89.296	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	BUY	16.1¢	62.269	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?	BUY	7.6¢	66.184	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	78.0¢	128.205	Mar 4
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	68.0¢	31.91	Mar 4
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	36.9¢	143.71	Mar 4
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	70.2¢	24.75	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	81.0¢	123.457	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?	BUY	33.8¢	148.089	Mar 4
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	65.7¢	320.01	Mar 4
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	34.8¢	143.714	Mar 4
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	11.8¢	193.3	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	54.6¢	183.006	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?	BUY	54.0¢	37.037	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?	BUY	47.3¢	42.292	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?	BUY	12.0¢	250	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	46.1¢	65.076	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing19.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.08

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)17.9%

Win Consistency36.4%

Profit Factor0.51

Drawdown Resilience0.41

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.41

Weekly Sharpe est.0.32

Trading Activity253 trades · 19 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,2214d profit15d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue