Movies4

0x798a95...61053b

Smart Score

Win Rate

95.0%

Total P&L

+$0

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.58

Sortino Ratio

-0.43

Max Drawdown

151.2%

ROI

0.3%

Profit Factor

115.77

Kelly Fraction

0.942

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

033.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 6?	BUY	99.9¢	1.4	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	1.43	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on March 3?	BUY	99.6¢	1.32	Mar 2
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 2?	BUY	99.8¢	1.47	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	1.2	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on March 3?	BUY	99.3¢	1.34	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 3?	BUY	99.7¢	1.39	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 2?	BUY	99.6¢	1.26	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on March 3?	BUY	99.6¢	1.26	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	1.17	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on March 3?	BUY	99.8¢	1.25	Mar 2
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?	BUY	99.6¢	1.17	Feb 27
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	1.4	Feb 27
Will XRP reach $2.20 in February?	BUY	99.9¢	1.36	Feb 27
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 February 23-March 1?	BUY	99.6¢	1.46	Feb 27
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February?	BUY	99.9¢	1.1	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	1.45	Feb 24
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	98.9¢	1.57	Feb 24
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 25?	BUY	99.9¢	1.36	Feb 24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 25?	BUY	99.9¢	1.44	Feb 24

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing33.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.86

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)30.8%

Win Consistency70.0%

Profit Factor0.88

Drawdown Resilience0.71

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.71

Weekly Sharpe est.0.54

Trading Activity22 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

$290d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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