mr.takethatrisk

0x011cf2...cb950f

Smart Score

Win Rate

50.0%

Total P&L

+$59

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

3.40

Sortino Ratio

9.42

Max Drawdown

14.5%

ROI

10.5%

Profit Factor

4.48

Kelly Fraction

0.388

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

076.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?	BUY	45.3¢	44.133	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	90.0¢	89.59	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	58.1¢	60.285	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?	SELL	51.5¢	67.91	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	BUY	26.0¢	57.692	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	27.0¢	55.55	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?	BUY	57.0¢	67.912	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	SELL	83.0¢	46.57	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	58.0¢	29.31	Mar 3
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?	BUY	32.0¢	15.625	Mar 3
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	27.0¢	55.556	Mar 2
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?	BUY	10.0¢	49.941	Mar 2
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	49.0¢	30.612	Mar 2
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?	SELL	42.4¢	21.33	Mar 1
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?	SELL	57.3¢	21.33	Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	53.7¢	46.574	Mar 1
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?	BUY	58.6¢	42.669	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	SELL	96.0¢	52.08	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	BUY	52.0¢	1.923	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	BUY	13.0¢	7.692	Feb 28

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Pro76.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.22

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)69.8%

Win Consistency56.3%

Profit Factor1.99

Drawdown Resilience1.61

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.61

Weekly Sharpe est.1.23

Trading Activity26 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

+$02d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue