mrcloud

0x0848a0...fbffbe

Smart Score

Win Rate

35.9%

Total P&L

+$332

Trade Count

550

Sharpe Ratio

-0.41

Sortino Ratio

-0.99

Max Drawdown

943.2%

ROI

7.8%

Profit Factor

3.03

Kelly Fraction

0.241

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

016.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?	SELL	32.0¢	38.88	Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	SELL	16.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	SELL	9.0¢	24.35	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	19.0¢	21.053	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	65.0¢	6.45	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	19.0¢	31.579	Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	44.0¢	13.51	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	19.0¢	10.526	Mar 4
Will there be between 6 and 9 US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?	BUY	29.9¢	33.477	Mar 4
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.5 and 42.9 on March 6, 2026?	SELL	36.7¢	33.66	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?	BUY	36.0¢	5.556	Mar 4
U.S. strike on Somalia by March 7?	BUY	43.0¢	148.837	Mar 4
U.S. strike on Somalia by March 7?	SELL	57.1¢	115.48	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	18.0¢	22.222	Mar 4
Trump approval Up or Down this week?	BUY	49.0¢	100	Mar 4
Trump approval Up or Down this week?	SELL	51.1¢	103.44	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	76.0¢	15.789	Mar 4
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	15.0¢	26.66	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	15.9¢	50.95	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	16.0¢	256.25	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing16.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.89

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)14.7%

Win Consistency36.7%

Profit Factor0.42

Drawdown Resilience0.34

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.34

Weekly Sharpe est.0.26

Trading Activity550 trades · 32 active days

P&L Calendar

$47811d profit21d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue