MrsWu

0x0e60ae...03f190

Smart Score

Win Rate

39.1%

Total P&L

-$1

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

2.21

Sortino Ratio

23.11

Max Drawdown

40.4%

ROI

-0.5%

Profit Factor

0.97

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

056.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	96.2¢	4.158	Mar 5
Will Mexico’s February unemployment rate be 2.8%?	BUY	95.0¢	3.789	Mar 3
Will Ohio Revoke Any OSB License Over Event-Contract Activity by March 31?	BUY	96.0¢	4.167	Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	BUY	71.0¢	3.225	Mar 2
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	94.2¢	5.31	Mar 1
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	94.0¢	5.319	Feb 28
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	82.0¢	2.439	Feb 27
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	SELL	87.0¢	5.61	Feb 26
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?	SELL	97.7¢	2.77	Feb 24
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?	SELL	71.0¢	4.52	Feb 23
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	SELL	71.0¢	4.17	Feb 23
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	BUY	96.3¢	6.646	Feb 22
Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?	SELL	98.7¢	3.91	Feb 21
Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	96.3¢	3.915	Feb 20
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	5.618	Feb 17
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?	BUY	74.0¢	4.527	Feb 17
Grok 4.20 released by February 28?	BUY	94.0¢	5.979	Feb 16
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	BUY	69.0¢	4.174	Feb 15
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	84.0¢	4.762	Feb 8
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?	BUY	64.2¢	5.171	Feb 7

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active56.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.10

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)51.3%

Win Consistency66.7%

Profit Factor1.47

Drawdown Resilience1.18

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.18

Weekly Sharpe est.0.90

Trading Activity44 trades · 20 active days

P&L Calendar

$396d profit14d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue